American Invest Hub
  • Politics
  • Investing
  • Business
  • Latest News

American Invest Hub

  • Politics
  • Investing
  • Business
  • Latest News
Latest News

Why gold prices are falling despite a Fed rate cut this week

by admin November 10, 2024
November 10, 2024
Why gold prices are falling despite a Fed rate cut this week

Gold prices are headed for a weekly loss as the yellow metal was battered by a rising dollar after Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 US presidential elections. 

Gold prices on COMEX are set to lose more than 2% since last week’s close as prices trade below the $2,700 per ounce mark on Friday. 

“The recent slide in gold prices is largely due to a strengthening US dollar, buoyed by investor expectations that economic policies under former President Donald Trump may spur growth and inflation,” Arslan Ali, analyst at Fxempire, said in a report. 

The rise in dollar makes commodities priced in the greenback less appealing for overseas investors, which limits demand and drags down prices. 

Silver prices were also down on Friday.

Among industrial metals, copper prices on the London Metal Exchange (LME) fell as traders shifted their focus to a meeting of China’s National People’s Congress. 

Meanwhile, the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its policy meeting late on Thursday.

The decision was in line with market expectations and followed a super-sized rate cut of 50 bps from the September meeting. 

Why is gold falling despite the Fed rate cut?

Gold prices have suffered since election day in the US earlier this week.

The swift nature of the US election without any controversies, removed the uncertainty risk premiums from gold prices. 

As Trump’s victory was clear and swift, Treasury yields and the dollar surged on Wednesday. 

This weighed on the non-yielding metals such as gold and silver. 

Moreover, Trump’s victory also increased risk-on sentiments among investors.

As a result, the safe-haven appeal of gold declined and prices suffered, according to experts. 

Ali said:

The risk-on sentiment in broader markets, spurred by optimism over Federal Reserve support and potential fiscal measures in China, contributed to the pullback in gold. 

Lower interest rates tend to benefit gold prices as the yellow metal does not fetch any interests unlike bonds.

China’s economic data and trade tensions

China’s expanding trade surplus, which rose to $95.27 billion in October—well above expectations of $75.1 billion—indicates robust global demand, especially for industrial goods, according to Fxempire. 

Exports also grew by 12.7% on a year-on-year basis in October, exceeding expectations of a 5% rise. 

China’s imports fell by 2.3%, worse than the expected 1.5% decline, hinting at subdued domestic consumption. 

The conflicting data added more uncertainty to the financial markets.

Lower imports could mean weaker domestic demand for commodities such as gold and oil. 

While increasing exports indicate that industrial activity was resilient in October.

Even though industrial demand would support sentiments for silver, it won’t hold true for gold. 

Robust industrial activity in the second top economy of the world would further deplete the safe-haven appeal of gold even as jewellery demand was already subdued. 

However, a silver-lining would be increased trade tensions with the US.

With Trump back at the White House, the president-elect could increase tariffs on all imported goods from China. 

According to experts, if countries align with China due to strained trade relations, a shift in global alliances would destabilise economic conditions, which could benefit gold. 

Muhammad Umair, analyst at Gold Predictors, said in a report on Fxstreet:

As countries pivot towards China’s economic sphere, weakening the US dollar could make gold more attractive to international investors, potentially boosting gold’s price. 

Short-term forecast

In the short-term, the trend in gold prices remains bearish. 

If prices drop below $2,668 per ounce on COMEX, it could intensify selling, according to analysts at Fxempire. 

If gold breaks above its resistance at $2,696.64 per ounce, then prices could rise above the psychological level of $2,700 per ounce. 

Source: TradingView

“Traders are closely watching these levels to gauge the next direction, as any sustained move above or below could signal a change in momentum,” Fxempire’s Ali said. 

In some positive news for the gold market, the US Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Thursday that the economy remained resilient and the central bank would ease monetary policy further. 

According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders priced in a 74.5% probability of the Fed cutting rates by a further 25 bps at its December meeting. 

At the time of writing, the December gold contract on COMEX was at $2,696.10 per ounce, down 0.4% from the previous close. 

The post Why gold prices are falling despite a Fed rate cut this week appeared first on Invezz

0
FacebookTwitterGoogle +Pinterest
previous post
Trump tariff fears: companies begin to shift production from China
next post
Oil prices fall over 1% as supply risks ease, weekly gains remain

Related Posts

Germans celebrate as recreational cannabis use becomes legal

April 2, 2024

Al Jazeera journalists killed in reported Israeli airstrike...

August 1, 2024

UN team finds ‘convincing’ information that hostages in...

March 5, 2024

France’s most streamed singer calls on voters to...

July 4, 2024

Ukrainian children’s hospital attacked as Russian strikes on...

July 9, 2024

Belarus reinforces military power on its Ukraine borders...

August 11, 2024

Analysis: Is gold’s upside potential fading?

January 30, 2025

ChatGPT’s boss claims nuclear fusion is the answer...

March 27, 2024

The hidden costs of Russia’s war: is a...

January 28, 2025

‘Tomorrow, I kill you:’ Rescued hostage details psychological...

July 13, 2024

    Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Latest News

    • GMS stock jumps 29% on takeover interest from Home Depot, QXO, analysts raise PTs

      June 22, 2025
    • Japan’s rice price surge: what’s driving it and why it could spark a political crisis

      June 22, 2025
    • BofA raises STOXX 600 target amid resilient global growth, warns on Mideast risks

      June 22, 2025
    • Palantir co-founder: US must prevent Iranian nukes

      June 22, 2025
    • Fed governor Waller advocates for July rate cut amid tariff, labor market outlook

      June 21, 2025

    Categories

    • Business (3,209)
    • Investing (2,537)
    • Latest News (2,000)
    • Politics (1,530)
    • About us
    • Contact us
    • Privacy Policy
    • Terms & Conditions

    Disclaimer: americaninvesthub.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2025 americaninvesthub.com | All Rights Reserved